Trenton Irwin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Trenton Irwin

NFL · Player Props

Trenton Irwin

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Trenton Irwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
While Trenton Irwin has accounted for 1.1% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Cincinnati's offense in this contest at 9.5%.
This year, the deficient Arizona Cardinals defense has been torched for a staggering 186.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 5th-worst in football.
The Arizona Cardinals cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are projected by the model to call just 61.2 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.8 plays per game.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Since the start of last season, the fierce Cardinals defense has yielded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing WRs: a meager 7.9 yards.

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