Trenton Irwin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Trenton Irwin

NFL · Player Props

Trenton Irwin

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Trenton Irwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 68.6% of their plays: the highest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in football.
While Trenton Irwin has garnered 6.1% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Cincinnati's offense in this week's game at 14.5%.
Trenton Irwin has accumulated many more adjusted receiving yards per game (39.0) this season than he did last season (28.0).

Favors Under

At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Cincinnati Bengals.
After accumulating 31.0 air yards per game last season, Trenton Irwin has significantly declined this season, currently boasting 24.0 per game.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
This year, the daunting Baltimore Ravens defense has given up a measly 140.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 9th-best in football.
This year, the tough Ravens defense has surrendered the least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a puny 6.6 yards.

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