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Trent Sherfield

Trent Sherfield Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Trent Sherfield Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +170 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.7 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs safeties profile as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Buffalo Bills as the least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.7 per game) this year.
  • Trent Sherfield's 9.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 20.6.
  • Trent Sherfield comes in as one of the bottom WRs in the game this year, averaging a measly 1.2 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 16th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Trent Sherfield's 47.8% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a meaningful decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 63.4% mark.

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