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Trent Sherfield

Trent Sherfield Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Trent Sherfield Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/-100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.

The Bills offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.3%) vs. wide receivers this year (70.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 3 points.

To the extent of a defense's influence on pace, at 28.47 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-most sluggish in the league (in a neutral context) right now.

Trent Sherfield's 8.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 20.6.

Trent Sherfield checks in as one of the weakest pass-catching WRs this year, averaging just 1.0 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 12th percentile among wide receivers.

Trent Sherfield's 43.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a significant reduction in his pass-catching skills over last year's 63.4% rate.

More Trent Sherfield Player Props

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