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Trent Sherfield

Trent Sherfield Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Trent Sherfield Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+160/-200).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.1% pass rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Trent Sherfield's 17.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 8.8.
  • Trent Sherfield's pass-catching performance gotten a boost this season, compiling 1.9 yards per game vs a mere 0.9 last season.
  • Trent Sherfield has been among the best possession receivers in the league, hauling in a terrific 74.0% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The Miami Dolphins have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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