Trent Sherfield Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Trent Sherfield

NFL · Player Props

Trent Sherfield

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receptions

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 4:11 PM EST

Analysis

Trent Sherfield Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+160/-200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.1% pass rate.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Trent Sherfield's 17.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 8.8.
Trent Sherfield's pass-catching performance gotten a boost this season, compiling 1.9 yards per game vs a mere 0.9 last season.
Trent Sherfield has been among the best possession receivers in the league, hauling in a terrific 74.0% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Dolphins are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Miami Dolphins O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
The Miami Dolphins O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.
The Miami Dolphins have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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