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Trent Sherfield

Trent Sherfield Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Trent Sherfield Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-119/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 66.6% pass rate.
  • Trent Sherfield's 17.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 8.8.
  • Trent Sherfield's receiving skills have improved this year, notching 2.1 yards per game compared to a mere 0.9 last year.
  • Trent Sherfield has been among the best possession receivers in football, catching a stellar 83.3% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The New York Jets pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (67.8%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (67.8%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Miami Dolphins will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 2nd-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 30.77 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The New York Jets cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

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