Trent Sherfield Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Trent Sherfield

NFL · Player Props

Trent Sherfield

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Trent Sherfield Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 68.0% pass rate.
The Bills O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Trent Sherfield has been among the top wideouts in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging an outstanding 5.03 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 76th percentile.
This year, the shaky Jaguars defense has surrendered the 5th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a colossal 6.23 YAC.

Favors Under

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.
The leading projections forecast the Bills to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Trent Sherfield's 24.2% Route Participation% this year conveys a a noteworthy decline in his air attack usage over last year's 62.4% mark.
Trent Sherfield has accrued far fewer air yards this season (11.0 per game) than he did last season (32.0 per game).
Since the start of last season, the formidable Jaguars defense has conceded a mere 64.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 8th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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