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Trent Sherfield

Trent Sherfield Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

Trent Sherfield Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+107/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -141.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Dolphins will be starting backup QB Teddy Bridgewater in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.3 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

Trent Sherfield has compiled far more air yards this season (32.0 per game) than he did last season (10.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Dolphins have called the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.9 plays per game.

The New England Patriots pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.9%) vs. wideouts this year (63.9%).

The New England Patriots pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.63 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the league.

The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in football this year in covering receivers.

The Miami Dolphins offensive line has given their QB a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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