Trent Sherfield Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Trent Sherfield

NFL · Player Props

Trent Sherfield

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Trent Sherfield Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+115/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trent Sherfield has accrued quite a few more air yards this year (28.0 per game) than he did last year (11.0 per game).
Trent Sherfield's 18.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 8.8.
Trent Sherfield has posted substantially more receiving yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (9.0).
Trent Sherfield has been among the best possession receivers in the league, catching an impressive 82.2% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
Trent Sherfield has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the league, averaging a stellar 10.30 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 86th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

The Dolphins are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.6 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 5th-least in the league.

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