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Trent Sherfield

Trent Sherfield Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Trent Sherfield Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 7th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Trent Sherfield has totaled many more air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (11.0 per game).
  • Trent Sherfield's 17.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 8.8.
  • Trent Sherfield has put up significantly more receiving yards per game (23.0) this year than he did last year (9.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to call the 6th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

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