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Trent Sherfield

Trent Sherfield Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Trent Sherfield Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+413/-902).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

Trent Sherfield has put up quite a few more air yards this season (28.0 per game) than he did last season (11.0 per game).

Trent Sherfield's 17.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 8.8.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has yielded the 2nd-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL to wideouts: 1.50 per game this year.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box against opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 57.0 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Trent Sherfield to be a less important option in his offense's passing game near the end zone this week (10.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.4% in games he has played).

The Miami Dolphins offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Trent Sherfield grades out in the 1st percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.

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