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Trent Sherfield

Trent Sherfield Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Trent Sherfield Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+380/-783).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +397 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +380.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a big 14-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Trent Sherfield has notched significantly more air yards this year (34.0 per game) than he did last year (10.0 per game).
  • Trent Sherfield's 20.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 9.0.
  • Trent Sherfield has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league, completing an impressive 75.5% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 80th percentile among WRs.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has conceded the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (70.2%) versus WRs this year (70.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to run the 2nd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 56.1 plays per game.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Trent Sherfield grades out in the 23rd percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a lowly 0.09 per game.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded the 7th-least touchdowns through the air in the league to WRs: 0.64 per game this year.

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