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Tre' McKitty

Tre' McKitty Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Tre' McKitty Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.

Tre' McKitty has been less involved as a potential target this season (30.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (11.7%).

The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Los Angeles Chargers have faced a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chargers are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Tre' McKitty has been among the least effective receivers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging a measly 4.63 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 12th percentile.

The Denver Broncos safeties project as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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