Tre' McKitty Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Tre' McKitty

NFL · Player Props

Tre' McKitty

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Tre' McKitty Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chargers are a giant 8.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 67.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 2nd-most in football.

Favors Under

Tre' McKitty has been among the bottom pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging a mere 12.0 yards per game while grading out in the 23rd percentile among tight ends.
Tre' McKitty has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in the league among tight ends, averaging a lowly 4.54 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 13th percentile.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has been quite strong when opposing TEs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.76 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in football.
The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers grade out as the 7th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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