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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs

Travis Kelce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-164/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -156 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -164.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs as the most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this contest, Travis Kelce is predicted by the model to position himself in the 99th percentile among TEs with 7.6 targets.

Travis Kelce places in the 99th percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) with a whopping 49.0 figure since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 3-point favorite in this game.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.7%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (70.7%).

The Falcons linebackers grade out as the 10th-best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

More Travis Kelce Player Props

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