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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Travis Kelce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -185.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 62.0% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The model projects Travis Kelce to earn 7.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among TEs.
  • Travis Kelce's 49.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 99th percentile for tight ends.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season.
  • Travis Kelce grades out as one of the best pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 6.0 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 98th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 4-point favorite in this game.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to call only 62.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals safeties project as the 8th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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