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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Travis Kelce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+112/-146).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

In this game, Travis Kelce is predicted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 98th percentile among tight ends with 8.3 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Travis Kelce's 74.4% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteworthy decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 80.1% rate.

The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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