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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Carolina Panthers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Travis Kelce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+115/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 65.8% pass rate.

The projections expect Travis Kelce to garner 8.5 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Travis Kelce's 58.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 50.2.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

Travis Kelce profiles as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging an outstanding 6.2 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 99th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a big 11-point favorite this week.

At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

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