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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Travis Kelce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a massive 61.3 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense this year: 9th-most in football.

The predictive model expects Travis Kelce to accumulate 9.4 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Travis Kelce's 62.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 50.2.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have only 124.6 offensive plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Buffalo Bills pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (73.6%) versus tight ends this year (73.6%).

More Travis Kelce Player Props

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