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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Travis Kelce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-155/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects Travis Kelce to notch 9.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Travis Kelce's 60.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 55.4.
  • Travis Kelce's 8.1 adjusted catches per game this season conveys a significant growth in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 6.6 figure.
  • Travis Kelce's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 74.6% to 82.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Broncos, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.1 per game) this year.

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