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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

Travis Kelce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-175/+145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Travis Kelce to accrue 8.4 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Travis Kelce's 51.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 99th percentile for TEs.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year.

Travis Kelce rates as one of the leading pass-catching TEs this year, averaging an impressive 6.5 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 100th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Chiefs are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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