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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Travis Kelce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects Travis Kelce to total 8.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to TEs.

With an impressive 23.5% Target% (99th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce places as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league.

As it relates to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

Travis Kelce grades out as one of the leading TE receiving threats this year, averaging an excellent 6.6 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 100th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a massive 10.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with worse passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.

More Travis Kelce Player Props

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