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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Travis Kelce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 64.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.

In this game, Travis Kelce is anticipated by the projection model to slot into the 100th percentile among tight ends with 9.8 targets.

Travis Kelce has been an integral part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 24.0% this year, which ranks him in the 99th percentile among tight ends.

Travis Kelce comes in as one of the top TE receiving threats this year, averaging a remarkable 6.8 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Bills defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Buffalo's collection of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 10th-best in the league.

More Travis Kelce Player Props

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