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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Travis Kelce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+120/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -154 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -154.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this contest, Travis Kelce is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 99th percentile among tight ends with 9.8 targets.
  • With a sizeable 24.9% Target% (99th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce has been as one of the tight ends with the most usage in the NFL.
  • Travis Kelce profiles as one of the best tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a remarkable 7.2 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 100th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

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