Travis Kelce Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Travis Kelce

NFL · Player Props

Travis Kelce

TE · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Travis Kelce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+120/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -154 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In this contest, Travis Kelce is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 99th percentile among tight ends with 9.8 targets.
With a sizeable 24.9% Target% (99th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce has been as one of the tight ends with the most usage in the NFL.
Travis Kelce profiles as one of the best tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a remarkable 7.2 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 100th percentile.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

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