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Travis Kelce
NFL · Player Props
Travis Kelce
TE · Kansas City Chiefs
Receiving Yards
Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Week 17, 2025 Updated Dec 26, 2025 1:22 AM EST
NFL Props Travis Kelce Receiving Yards

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-100/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -100.

Favors Over
  • The Kansas City Chiefs will be forced to start backup quarterback Chris Oladokun in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Chiefs are a massive 13.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 65.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 133.1 total plays run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Chiefs this year (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).
Favors Under
  • Travis Kelce has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (42.0 per game) than he did last year (59.0 per game).
  • Travis Kelce's 39.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 54.8.
  • Travis Kelce's talent in grinding out extra yardage have declined this year, totaling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.53 mark last year.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.1%) versus tight ends this year (70.1%).
  • The Denver Broncos linebackers project as the 10th-best group of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
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