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Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (64.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.With an exceptional 87.9% Route% (100th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce places as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in football.The projections expect Travis Kelce to accumulate 8.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile when it comes to tight ends.Travis Kelce has accrued a monstrous 48.0 air yards per game this year: 96th percentile among TEs.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 9-point advantage, the Chiefs are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.At the moment, the 7th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs.Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Raiders, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.0 per game) this year.Travis Kelce has notched quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (40.0) this season than he did last season (68.0).Travis Kelce's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 80.1% to 75.1%.
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