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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 64.7% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.

Travis Kelce has run a route on 87.4% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.

The predictive model expects Travis Kelce to accumulate 9.1 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile among tight ends.

When talking about air yards, Travis Kelce grades out in the lofty 97th percentile among TEs this year, accumulating a colossal 49.0 per game.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Travis Kelce has put up substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (45.0) this season than he did last season (68.0).

Travis Kelce's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 80.1% to 74.3%.

Travis Kelce's 7.1 adjusted yards per target this season represents a noteworthy reduction in his receiving talent over last season's 8.7 mark.

The 49ers defense has given up the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 34.0) to tight ends this year.

More Travis Kelce Player Props

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