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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs as the most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this contest, Travis Kelce is predicted by the model to position himself in the 99th percentile among TEs with 7.6 targets.

When talking about air yards, Travis Kelce ranks in the towering 97th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accumulating a massive 51.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 3-point favorite in this game.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Falcons pass defense has yielded the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing TEs: a paltry 4.3 YAC.

The Falcons linebackers grade out as the 10th-best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

More Travis Kelce Player Props

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