Travis Kelce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Travis Kelce

NFL · Player Props

Travis Kelce

TE · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 2, 2024

Updated Sep 15, 2024 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 62.0% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The model projects Travis Kelce to earn 7.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among TEs.
In regards to air yards, Travis Kelce grades out in the lofty 97th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 52.0 per game.
Travis Kelce's 49.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 99th percentile for tight ends.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 4-point favorite in this game.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to call only 62.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties project as the 8th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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