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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 56.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in football (67.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

The model projects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 148.3 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Chiefs have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.

The projections expect Travis Kelce to notch 9.1 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among TEs.

Travis Kelce has accrued a whopping 58.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) usually lead to worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.

Travis Kelce has posted many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (55.0) this season than he did last season (68.0).

Travis Kelce's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 80.1% to 75.9%.

More Travis Kelce Player Props

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