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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (66.6% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Chiefs.
  • The Chiefs have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.6 plays per game.
  • In this week's contest, Travis Kelce is anticipated by the model to rank in the 97th percentile among TEs with 8.9 targets.
  • Travis Kelce has accrued a monstrous 58.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Travis Kelce's 57.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 50.2.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.
  • Travis Kelce's 55.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year reflects a noteable reduction in his receiving proficiency over last year's 68.0 figure.
  • Travis Kelce's 74.6% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a substantial reduction in his receiving prowess over last year's 80.1% figure.
  • Travis Kelce's 6.6 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 8.7 rate.
  • Travis Kelce's ability to grind out extra yardage has tailed off this season, accumulating just 3.48 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.75 rate last season.

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