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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Carolina Panthers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 63.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 65.8% pass rate.

The projections expect Travis Kelce to garner 8.5 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

When talking about air yards, Travis Kelce ranks in the towering 99th percentile among TEs this year, accumulating a massive 58.0 per game.

Travis Kelce's 58.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 50.2.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a big 11-point favorite this week.

At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

Travis Kelce has totaled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (52.0) this season than he did last season (68.0).

Travis Kelce's 6.6 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 8.7 figure.

Travis Kelce's 3.29 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a material drop-off in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 4.8% rate.

More Travis Kelce Player Props

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