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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 64.6% pass rate.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are expected by the model to call 66.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Chiefs this year (a whopping 61.0 per game on average).

In this game, Travis Kelce is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 8.9 targets.

Travis Kelce has accrued a colossal 58.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a heavy 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Travis Kelce has put up quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (55.0) this year than he did last year (68.0).

Travis Kelce's pass-catching efficiency has declined this season, averaging a mere 6.72 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.71 rate last season.

Travis Kelce's ability to generate extra yardage has diminished this year, accumulating a mere 3.40 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.75 mark last year.

The Broncos defense has allowed the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 41.0) to tight ends this year.

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