Travis Kelce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Travis Kelce

NFL · Player Props

Travis Kelce

TE · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 80.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 80.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Travis Kelce to notch 9.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Travis Kelce has accrued far more air yards this year (76.0 per game) than he did last year (67.0 per game).
Travis Kelce's 60.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 55.4.
Travis Kelce ranks as one of the best pass-game tight ends this year, averaging an outstanding 84.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 100th percentile.

Favors Under

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game.
Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Broncos, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.1 per game) this year.

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