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Travis Kelce
NFL · Player Props
Travis Kelce
TE · Kansas City Chiefs
Receiving Yards
Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears · Week 3, 2023 Updated Sep 24, 2023 8:31 PM UTC
NFL Props Travis Kelce Receiving Yards

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 73.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 70.5 @ +115.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs offense as the 8th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.04 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Travis Kelce to total 8.5 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among TEs.
  • Travis Kelce has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 25.2% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 99th percentile among TEs.
  • Travis Kelce has accrued a monstrous 66.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile among tight ends.
Favors Under
  • The Chiefs are a huge 12.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the league.
  • Travis Kelce's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 74.6% to 46.9%.
  • Travis Kelce's pass-game effectiveness has declined this year, notching a measly 3.56 yards-per-target vs a 9.08 rate last year.
  • The Chicago Bears defense has yielded the 5th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 37.0) vs. tight ends since the start of last season.
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