|
|
Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-180/+150).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -180.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
The Chiefs are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the greatest clip on the slate this week.Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 133.4 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (36.2 per game) this year.The predictive model expects Travis Kelce to total 9.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
After averaging 67.0 air yards per game last season, Travis Kelce has significantly declined this season, currently sitting at 55.0 per game.Travis Kelce's 70.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year marks a remarkable drop-off in his receiving ability over last year's 80.0 mark.This year, the tough Ravens defense has allowed a measly 42.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 6th-fewest in football.The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has excelled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.23 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Baltimore's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
