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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-145/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Travis Kelce to accrue 8.4 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Travis Kelce's 51.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 99th percentile for TEs.
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year.
  • Travis Kelce's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 74.6% to 80.3%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Chiefs are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Chiefs to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Travis Kelce has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (57.0 per game) than he did last year (67.0 per game).
  • Travis Kelce has totaled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (71.0) this season than he did last season (80.0).

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