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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects Travis Kelce to total 8.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to TEs.

With an impressive 23.5% Target% (99th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce places as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league.

Travis Kelce has totaled a staggering 62.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

As it relates to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a massive 10.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with worse passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.

Travis Kelce's 73.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season represents a substantial drop-off in his receiving skills over last season's 80.0 mark.

More Travis Kelce Player Props

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