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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 71.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 72.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In this contest, Travis Kelce is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 99th percentile among tight ends with 9.8 targets.

With a sizeable 24.9% Target% (99th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce has been as one of the tight ends with the most usage in the NFL.

Travis Kelce's receiving reliability have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 74.6% to 82.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

After averaging 67.0 air yards per game last year, Travis Kelce has fallen off this year, now sitting at 60.0 per game.

Travis Kelce has totaled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (71.0) this year than he did last year (80.0).

More Travis Kelce Player Props

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