Travis Kelce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Travis Kelce

NFL · Player Props

Travis Kelce

TE · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 79.5 (-128/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 79.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 79.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 72.4% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Kelce to accrue 9.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among TEs.
Travis Kelce has put up far more air yards this year (71.0 per game) than he did last year (61.0 per game).
Travis Kelce's 55.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 49.4.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has given up the 10th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 36.0) versus tight ends this year.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (63%) vs. TEs this year (63.0%).
The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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