Travis Homer Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Travis Homer

NFL · Player Props

Travis Homer

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 16, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Travis Homer Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Travis Homer's ground effectiveness (6.02 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (95th percentile among RBs).
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging just 53.8 plays per game.
The Seattle Seahawks O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in run blocking.

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