At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jaguars to run on 37.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jaguars are predicted by the model to call just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.The Texans defense owns the 2nd-best efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, conceding just 3.64 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
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