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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Travis Etienne Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this contest, Travis Etienne is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 77th percentile among running backs with 12.9 rush attempts.

Travis Etienne has picked up 58.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the NFL when it comes to running backs (84th percentile).

Travis Etienne's rushing efficiency has improved this season, notching 4.54 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 3.69 figure last season.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Buffalo Bills run defense has given up a mere 4.60 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 23rd-best rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Jaguars, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 7th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 39.7% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are expected by the projections to run just 60.4 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may slide.

Travis Etienne has been a less important option in his team's rushing attack this year (53.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (63.7%).

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