Travis Etienne Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
In this game, Travis Etienne is projected by the projections to finish in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.8 rush attempts.
Travis Etienne has been a much bigger part of his team's run game this year (66.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (51.6%).
With an outstanding rate of 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (83rd percentile), Travis Etienne ranks among the leading pure runners in the league this year.
The Bills safeties rank as the 31st-worst unit in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 7th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 38.3% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Jaguars O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football last year at opening holes for runners.
Travis Etienne's 3.5 adjusted yards per carry this season reflects a a remarkable reduction in his rushing talent over last season's 5.1 rate.

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