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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-135/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.
  • In this game, Travis Etienne is expected by the projections to secure a spot in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.2 carries.
  • After comprising 51.6% of his team's carries last season, Travis Etienne has been more involved in the running game this season, now sitting at 65.5%.
  • Travis Etienne has averaged 65.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (92nd percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Jaguars as the 8th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 39.8% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL last year at executing run-blocking assingments.
  • Travis Etienne's running effectiveness has diminished this year, accumulating just 3.71 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.07 figure last year.
  • This year, the porous Houston Texans run defense has surrendered a whopping 3.67 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 31st-highest rate in the NFL.

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