Travis Etienne Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 5:46 PM EST

Analysis

Travis Etienne Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 67.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 65.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 27.36 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment.
The model projects Travis Etienne to accrue 18.3 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Travis Etienne has been much more involved in his offense's running game this year (67.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (51.6%).
With an outstanding rate of 66.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (90th percentile), Travis Etienne rates among the leading pure runners in the league this year.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 8th-least run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.8% run rate.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league last year at opening holes for runners.
Travis Etienne's 3.7 adjusted yards per carry this year indicates an impressive drop-off in his rushing ability over last year's 5.1 mark.

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