Travis Etienne Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 4th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.41 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to earn 17.3 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to be a much bigger part of his team's run game this week (68.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (44.0% in games he has played).
Travis Etienne has picked up 70.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in the league among running backs (91st percentile).
Travis Etienne's ground efficiency (6.12 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (100th percentile among RBs).

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year at blocking for rushers.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense owns the 9th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, allowing just 4.38 yards-per-carry.
The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box vs. opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their plays since the start of last season (9th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.