Travis Etienne Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a huge 7-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have run for the 3rd-most yards in the league (163 per game) vs. the Houston Texans defense this year.
The Houston Texans linebackers profile as the worst unit in football this year with their run defense.

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their plays since the start of last season (9th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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