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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars are a huge 7-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 3rd-most yards in the league (163 per game) vs. the Houston Texans defense this year.
  • The Houston Texans linebackers profile as the worst unit in football this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their plays since the start of last season (9th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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