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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 8th-quickest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 26.56 seconds per play.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defense has had the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, yielding 4.91 yards-per-carry.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defensive ends grade out as the 6th-worst group of DEs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.0% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Jaguars are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 37.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have used motion in their offense on 33.0% of their plays since the start of last season (9th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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