Travis Etienne Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (+109/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -133 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ -144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to notch 16.6 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to be a more important option in his offense's running game this week (67.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (50.5% in games he has played).
Travis Etienne has grinded out 64.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in the league among RBs (88th percentile).
Travis Etienne's running effectiveness (5.28 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (90th percentile among RBs).
The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.
Opposing offenses have run for the 2nd-least yards in the league (just 81 per game) vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year.

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